Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.562481 0.656187 0.758209 0.877215 1.011887 1.159220 1.332250
2025-01-05 0.398544 0.520885 0.666979 0.852859 1.081487 1.351834 1.693867
2025-01-12 0.298843 0.430848 0.601356 0.834462 1.141098 1.526563 2.042994
2025-01-19 0.234536 0.368758 0.554397 0.824203 1.199549 1.695573 2.391416
2025-01-26 0.195960 0.332594 0.533157 0.840291 1.288100 1.904807 2.802951
2025-02-02 0.165251 0.301195 0.511989 0.850428 1.364962 2.099719 3.205157
2025-02-09 0.140066 0.273208 0.490580 0.855207 1.431136 2.280894 3.596984
2025-02-16 0.123105 0.255532 0.482088 0.877303 1.522945 2.503135 4.059818
2025-02-23 0.106748 0.235688 0.466650 0.885139 1.591236 2.692606 4.483509
2025-03-02 0.087673 0.206947 0.431362 0.854618 1.593223 2.777954 4.751553
2025-03-09 0.078734 0.196527 0.427361 0.877222 1.683918 3.007156 5.254260
2025-03-16 0.069869 0.184520 0.418521 0.889558 1.757032 3.211215 5.726886
2025-03-23 0.065571 0.182075 0.428533 0.938840 1.900509 3.542902 6.429403
2025-03-30 0.056629 0.167191 0.411455 0.934605 1.947774 3.716515 6.883122
2025-04-06 0.048284 0.151885 0.391156 0.921410 1.976775 3.859734 7.292873
2025-04-13 0.041517 0.138998 0.374051 0.912323 2.011836 4.014279 7.728254
2025-04-20 0.037470 0.132489 0.370334 0.930534 2.100389 4.268210 8.347073
2025-04-27 0.033497 0.125256 0.363819 0.941805 2.175647 4.501625 8.940405
2025-05-04 0.029697 0.117602 0.355107 0.947087 2.238799 4.715601 9.508520
2025-05-11 0.027247 0.113557 0.354807 0.971220 2.342055 5.009379 10.233095
2025-05-18 0.024377 0.107410 0.348152 0.979776 2.413043 5.245274 10.862052
2025-05-25 0.020266 0.095800 0.325036 0.946472 2.391876 5.302321 11.162688
2025-06-01 0.018711 0.092975 0.325706 0.971140 2.498160 5.612878 11.950065